NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7ee660021df8f5e08f099b2bab37624de534df838f930d29ed0c9878722a894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Timberwolves, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 43c | 918$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nets | 45c | 840.91$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Timberwolves | 55c | 750$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 55c | 450$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…2370backed Nets | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…8645backed Timberwolves | 54c | 360$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 334.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Nets | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nets | 42c | 176$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.55 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Nets | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…2d4abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 162.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Nets | 41c | 142$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 51c | 130$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Nets | 40c | 126$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nets | 46c | 123.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Nets | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Timberwolves | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 47c | 94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…fc45backed Timberwolves | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -16.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86e1…dcf6backed Timberwolves | 54c | 89.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nets | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Nets | 41c | 81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Nets | 39c | 58.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 47c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Nets | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 54c | 39.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Timberwolves | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Timberwolves | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Nets | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Timberwolves | 59c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Timberwolves | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Timberwolves | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Timberwolves | 59c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nets | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 25.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nets | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Timberwolves | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Timberwolves | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nets | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Timberwolves | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Timberwolves | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Timberwolves | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Nets won
- Nets vs. TimberwolvesNets won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Nets won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Nets won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.