Premier League · resolved market
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c0cfb9a59406f5aebcab0de14f5327b921a6f8035a4ec3b74b75440d3a91a30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 1,433$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 26c | 1,156$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.31 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 5c | 970$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 18c | 721.7$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 63c | 711.12$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.11 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 589.75$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 68c | 443.97$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.07 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 228$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 32c | 135.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 31c | 127$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 43c | 113$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Over | 32c | 76.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 32c | 70.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 32c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Over | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 68c | 30.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Under | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Under | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Under | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Under | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Under | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Under | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Under | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Under | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.