Premier League · resolved market
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e821447e8b5b9eeee6b85b84e036680a438491c6b8ca5ab8355183e7448a836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 5,381$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.82 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 3,482$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 42c | 2,697$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.94 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 546.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.3 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Over | 54c | 518.04$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.3 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 46c | 351$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Over | 52c | 329.69$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.25 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 45c | 315.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 54c | 255.56$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Under | 47c | 136.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 46c | 109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 46c | 92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 46c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 24c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 46c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…b32cbacked Under | 76c | 47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Under | 46c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 53c | 36.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…afb4backed Under | 47c | 23.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 55c | 23.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Queens Park Rangers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.