Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d660040cd095cbfd562877066ca48c9bf5297259eb073c966bcafcfca8f7c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Queens Park Rangers FCof Queens Park Rangers FC, Sheffield Wednesday FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 62c | 508.93$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.77 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Queens Park Rangers FC | 38c | 478.98$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.8 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Queens Park Rangers FC | 43c | 112$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Queens Park Rangers FC | 43c | 111$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Queens Park Rangers FC | 43c | 83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Queens Park Rangers FC | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Queens Park Rangers FC | 43c | 74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Queens Park Rangers FC | 46c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Queens Park Rangers FC | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Queens Park Rangers FC | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…9160backed Queens Park Rangers FC | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)this page
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.