CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04073bb3abc83bbf4aea5c20359b90c7eda5e0eff51dae2d833cf606c7ea5713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof NRG, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f26…ea16backed Team Falcons | 78c | 6,500$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed NRG | 22c | 5,057$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.54 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed NRG | 20c | 2,390$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.08 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked NRG | 24c | 2,368$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.62 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed NRG | 19c | 1,806$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.13 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed NRG | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NRG | 12c | 990.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed NRG | 22c | 827.27$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de4…cd16backed NRG | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Team Falcons | 74c | 542.03$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.09 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 75c | 540$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 505$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.25 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…cab2backed NRG | 7c | 320$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed NRG | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…d6cdbacked NRG | 7c | 214.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 74c | 205.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed NRG | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…ee4bbacked NRG | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Team Falcons | 78c | 175$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed NRG | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked NRG | 25c | 144.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed NRG | 9c | 112.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked NRG | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked NRG | 26c | 97.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed NRG | 23c | 91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed NRG | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…8e0dbacked NRG | 14c | 81.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Team Falcons | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…045fbacked NRG | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed NRG | 23c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked NRG | 20c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked NRG | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked NRG | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Team Falcons | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Team Falcons | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Team Falcons | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Team Falcons | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Team Falcons | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Team Falcons | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Team Falcons | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Team Falcons | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)NRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.