TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-12-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,126 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes5c10,317$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.733,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes20c6,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18027939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes14c3,398$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.9584850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes21c2,708$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.2419934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes12c2,576$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes22c2,222$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.842128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes20c2,060$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.9433055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes19c1,846$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.664042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No80c1,778$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.022733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes20c1,504$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.756923.2%16 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Yes1c1,410$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11560%9 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+80.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes4c1,100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes19c1,050$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.474639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes50c999.7$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.851656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed No50c999.7$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick43cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes6c993.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.078658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes21c940.27$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4642844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No78c914.24$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1352243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes9c844.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.262,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f1…eaa7backed Yes19c794.9$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes20c667.67$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5374155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210%0 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes22c477.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9119736%71 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes20c391.4$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2860%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No78c390$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8515846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked No79c379.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.622458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes21c336.19$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.619027.4%52 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes23c252.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x927b…3735backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Yes5c249.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.675850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa599…1a41backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-34.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes22c219.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4810360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes21c203.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.82123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No79c174.63$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.966656.1%37 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Yes20c151$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.21844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes21c128.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253070%21 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b5f…3269backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes21c114.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.123946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes19c105$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9537926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe977…fcd8backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes22c99.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7833349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Yes22c99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.782250%11 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208543.5%37 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes21c92.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.382924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No78c84.24$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5633847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0277…0677backed Yes19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-74.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa763…18a2backed Yes21c79.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55be…a73abacked No80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa33…63e6backed No79c74.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.68785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked No79c70.45$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.791369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked No80c70$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No79c68.75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4410554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb957…d44fbacked Yes25c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+88.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…0857backed No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes21c62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0236136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes23c56.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes22c54.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126521.5%14 W · 51 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Yes21c49.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No78c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.96753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…751ebacked No79c43.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No79c41.94$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.815660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fb3…f152backed No78c41.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb385…c1a4backed No80c37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e71…8913backed No80c34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed No80c32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3659…1c2dbacked No80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc6e…02cfbacked No80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked No78c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9acf…bd74backed No80c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb203…8e45backed No79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked No78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51030%3 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick62cpaid-46.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa218…b0afbacked No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No78c24.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.511843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed No80c22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a17…5524backed No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41894.4%17 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick75cpaid+26.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63a7…4ddfbacked No80c19.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9f…5b6fbacked No80c14.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.81683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+62.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5935…b8dabacked No78c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.08666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No78c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.08955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…c7f3backed No78c13.09$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae91…0f69backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.