NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32216b0ed9d2562d067ddaed35b6a7e091ab30133f9de194ac3442212cd3da8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Wild, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 31c | 6,988$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.88 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 69c | 6,528$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.56 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…acc7backed Wild | 31c | 277.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Kings | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Kings | 70c | 204$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Kings | 70c | 169$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Kings | 69c | 155$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Kings | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Wild | 31c | 139$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Kings | 69c | 128$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Kings | 70c | 114$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Wild | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Kings | 70c | 99.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Wild | 28c | 97.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Wild | 30c | 94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Kings | 70c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Kings | 70c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Wild | 30c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Kings | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Kings | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed Kings | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Kings | 79c | 55.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Wild | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Wild | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Wild | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Kings | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Wild | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Wild | 31c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Wild | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Wild | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Wild | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Wild | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Wild | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Wild | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Wild | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Wild | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Wild | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Kings | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Kings | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
- Wild vs. KingsKings won
- Wild vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.