NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b88b88204468d9b1e410fb0f65bb80810feb34ea9778416510a1d2dbe99753c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 4,200$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 3,339$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 2,023$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.43 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 50c | 1,988$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 1,520$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.5 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 50c | 1,508$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 52c | 1,057$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 54c | 543.48$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 47c | 403$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.36 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 51c | 388.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.39 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 384.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 47c | 321.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.22 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 216.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 48c | 193.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 52c | 146.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 53c | 139.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…3f06backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 49c | 98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9791…caeabacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…f3a9backed Over | 51c | 76.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 39.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…90b6backed Over | 51c | 30.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…2fb8backed Over | 51c | 28.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…ae51backed Over | 51c | 28.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…f7ffbacked Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…87dabacked Over | 51c | 26.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…38febacked Over | 51c | 25.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…7347backed Over | 51c | 25.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…8512backed Over | 51c | 24.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…1263backed Over | 51c | 24.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…a2aabacked Over | 51c | 24.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1cddbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
- Pacers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Pacers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Pacers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.