NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfaa2ccef749e830089f299b829f55c4f905f061343501e1b6f51c965b3810fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 48c | 9,125$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.1 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 6,071$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.57 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 3,371$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.92 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 50c | 2,550$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,445$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 48c | 958.33$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.33 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 688.06$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.42 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 54c | 192.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets won
- Pacers vs. RocketsRockets won
- Pacers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Pacers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Rockets (-15.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.