TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Rockets, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$303,630
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,630 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers53c189,209$99,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,808.7787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Rockets48c49,808$23,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,91450653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc675…2ff3backed Rockets48c40,942$19,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,766.253240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Rockets47c32,970$15,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,645.5589050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x13af…bdf0backed Rockets47c20,213$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,50020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers51c12,928$6,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,322.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Rockets47c12,590$5,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,937.71,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Pacers52c12,389$6,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,911.0920352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pacers51c11,371$5,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,531.922,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers12c8,572$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,529.231,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Pacers52c6,823$3,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.2717348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc43…7c45backed Rockets47c6,383$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Rockets47c6,351$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00616254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Rockets47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Rockets47c5,350$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.55655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Rockets47c4,933$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318.5124053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6122…b8d5backed Rockets47c4,213$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5c…36f0backed Rockets48c4,083$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9602955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Rockets47c3,818$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.5471547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Rockets47c3,617$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f0…7a17backed Rockets54c3,567$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pacers54c3,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.991,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets46c3,483$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets52c3,420$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb75…2cdfbacked Rockets47c3,398$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5973548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Rockets51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.9811653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Rockets46c2,997$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.7310949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pacers37c2,561$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,614.941,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Pacers55c2,260$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01722055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Rockets47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9409451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e27…3cccbacked Rockets53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0602356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe971…350cbacked Pacers47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…9120backed Rockets51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x088b…bce1backed Pacers49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets46c1,880$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.591,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rockets48c1,689$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.361,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf516…79a0backed Rockets48c1,454$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets47c1,397$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.395,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Pacers42c1,376$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.2731144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Pacers55c1,273$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.7340041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16d6…ef00backed Rockets53c1,225$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers45c1,092$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Pacers55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9115756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers21c1,080$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.982,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pacers52c1,067$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.662,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets47c1,053$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.912,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Rockets47c1,035$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.082,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Rockets76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76018440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Pacers46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Pacers49c940$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.444648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Rockets55c825$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.750347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0993…f5acbacked Rockets54c805.56$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4351030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Rockets54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32459144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Rockets63c584.24$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9327161.3%166 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Rockets57c555$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.3511048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0674…f212backed Pacers49c520$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.21942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Pacers52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Rockets48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010244.1%45 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc0…fe28backed Rockets2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets47c456.07$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.412,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Rockets52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Rockets52c384.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Rockets50c378.96$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.51,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Rockets5c340$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17437%3 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f2…4adebacked Rockets47c312.69$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-65.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Rockets48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14416539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Rockets52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pacers53c288.17$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4485147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Rockets45c288$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.61,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Pacers53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.025350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Rockets46c260.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Pacers54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2212651.6%65 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Rockets57c220$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.419147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40b…175fbacked Rockets48c210.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Pacers53c210$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.723058.7%135 W · 95 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Rockets48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rockets48c204.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.23,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Rockets47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9451651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Rockets15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Rockets50c199.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rockets48c188.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.662,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Pacers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Pacers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1911946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Rockets47c174$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7843052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Pacers54c156.18$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.189541.1%39 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Rockets54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Rockets43c139.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3676247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rockets49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Pacers30c122.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8163745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers51c107.39$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.623,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Rockets47c106.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Pacers48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1712650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e57…21cbbacked Pacers53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Pacers28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.727144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Rockets51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112054.2%65 W · 55 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb0a…3518backed Pacers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Rockets52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc61…9d15backed Rockets47c93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Rockets54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.