TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,763 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Under49c100,000$49,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,999.917031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c53,849$27,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,380.922,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Over51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,599.9851350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over51c17,243$8,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,449.2319754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c16,915$8,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,076.752,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c2…7554backed Under49c11,580$5,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,674966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over51c7,500$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,674.941,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c6,777$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,278.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a1…2964backed Under49c5,790$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42f1…bebdbacked Over53c5,650$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.554443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4760…760dbacked Over61c5,541$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.53771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under49c5,020$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46012151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Over51c4,999$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.641,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed Over53c4,679$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.675261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under46c3,507$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.623,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under49c3,010$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.6650241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4701,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under50c2,490$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24327735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Over51c2,451$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.9822035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Under49c2,401$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.4713748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under50c2,220$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00841652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96022458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0813355.6%74 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,726$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.364,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c1,708$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.912,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Over52c1,669$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.128853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e1…88d4backed Under48c1,398$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Under49c1,260$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.511243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c1,100$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.792,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under31c992$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.841,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c848$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d82…ffb2backed Over52c836.88$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.72744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked Under49c826.96$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.12556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c787$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.636,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c745$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.432,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Under16c664.07$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2539018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1021…e648backed Over54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.562152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24516635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Over52c399.98$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9928751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over52c373.08$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0849852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked Under49c361$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8912257.4%70 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Over51c348.91$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9723250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd5…7236backed Over51c339.92$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.563237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over51c330$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.74553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3295…07afbacked Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.463735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c287.58$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.552,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Over51c272.62$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6214357.3%82 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Over51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.140952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Over52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7713651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9791…caeabacked Over51c223.53$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.532657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9836854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9812054.2%65 W · 55 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Under49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Over52c193.85$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0513464.2%86 W · 48 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6811047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Over51c187.7$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.979343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c146.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.712,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over65c137.46$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.441,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c115.65$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.832,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x961a…da58backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.385942.4%25 W · 34 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under32c111$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.431,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeeb…135abacked Under49c108.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under50c106.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0451146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4044821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1537352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1517545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1560346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over52c94.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1816261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d55…3ea8backed Over53c78.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.775437%20 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.922,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under48c71.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.471,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Over52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.617447.7%83 W · 91 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Under48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.685347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over53c62.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.261,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over66c58.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6828943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f8…256ebacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.699547.4%45 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7972…930fbacked Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.028247.6%39 W · 43 L-12.3wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-24.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over51c41.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3742551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over51c41.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3741354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1725…7405backed Under49c40.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.229652.7%156 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9331…0951backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.224252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.469943.4%43 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4656454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4622347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4633258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4628856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x848f…612fbacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.747861.5%48 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under38c34.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0530616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Over51c32.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1510957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under49c30.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0893849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb134…b496backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.