NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0180008b995e0ba9f8b6039f3022fd773fc9045208f1152dc0c32a110fa857b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Clippers | 58c | 5,852$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.13 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 42c | 5,135$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.01 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 45c | 1,936$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.04 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 56c | 1,495$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.2 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 43c | 1,473$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.39 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 42c | 1,086$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Celtics | 45c | 827$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.85 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Clippers | 55c | 586.27$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.45 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Clippers | 57c | 521$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.97 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Clippers | 52c | 516.23$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.44 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Clippers | 56c | 477$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.12 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 44c | 423$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.88 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Clippers | 54c | 342$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 50c | 330.56$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Celtics | 45c | 320$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtics | 42c | 308.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.66 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 46c | 288.2$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.63 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 44c | 275.74$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 43c | 200.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Clippers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers | 52c | 161.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Clippers | 52c | 147$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Celtics | 63c | 138$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Clippers | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Celtics | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Clippers | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Celtics | 45c | 98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 268 | 42.9%115 W · 153 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Celtics | 67c | 89.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Celtics | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers | 31c | 82.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Celtics | 45c | 82.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 52c | 73.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Clippers | 30c | 71.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Celtics | 45c | 64.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 52c | 61.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Celtics | 61c | 56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Clippers | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…205bbacked Celtics | 43c | 44.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Celtics | 44c | 42.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Clippers | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics | 43c | 39.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Celtics | 43c | 39.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 41c | 37.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Clippers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics | 42c | 34.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Celtics | 43c | 33.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Clippers | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Celtics | 50c | 29.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Celtics | 43c | 28.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Celtics | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Clippers | 56c | 21.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Clippers | 58c | 18.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)this page
- Celtics vs. ClippersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.