NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89977824ae69aa7e2caa85adcfef802c2a1ab9c0f86604d1ac4bf1494a65ab8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 57c | 3,077$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 3,071$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 1,475$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.82 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 1,298$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.92 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…d110backed Over | 45c | 599.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 47c | 593.38$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.74 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…0fa3backed Under | 22c | 579.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.8 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 40c | 384.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…5af4backed Under | 54c | 367.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 73c | 268.8$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce4…8f30backed Under | 8c | 265.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 74c | 230$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 185.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 57c | 175.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 136.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…ff92backed Over | 45c | 133.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…6817backed Over | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 84 | 26.2%22 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 71c | 79.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…0622backed Under | 52c | 77.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…0a55backed Over | 45c | 66.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Under | 56c | 66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 56c | 60.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 30c | 50.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 31c | 39.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 39.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Over | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Over | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 47c | 25.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 57c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485e…fcb5backed Over | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5this page
- Celtics vs. ClippersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.