NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97a817ddf8abeb1352d692ec7ad61026a9c9098340341f74a8f2076de9343df1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Clippers | 58c | 100,458$58,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,265.56 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Celtics | 42c | 100,000$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,000 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Celtics | 44c | 10,286$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,786.13 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 56c | 7,663$4,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,282.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 46c | 3,923$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 55c | 2,828$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 42c | 1,328$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.86 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Clippers | 59c | 1,129$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Celtics | 43c | 1,123$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.26 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Clippers | 60c | 1,107$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.12 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 52c | 960.98$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Celtics | 42c | 799.65$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.86 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Celtics | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Celtics | 42c | 417.09$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.15 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Clippers | 60c | 326.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 56c | 304.55$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.55 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Celtics | 68c | 279.36$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Clippers | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…8a40backed Celtics | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…eaf6backed Clippers | 46c | 216.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Celtics | 48c | 215.56$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Clippers | 58c | 209.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Celtics | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Clippers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Clippers | 59c | 168.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fc…cae1backed Clippers | 59c | 168.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Clippers | 60c | 166.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Celtics | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 57c | 139.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Clippers | 54c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Clippers | 46c | 123.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 41c | 115.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Celtics | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Clippers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ba…d1c2backed Celtics | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Clippers | 58c | 88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Celtics | 61c | 86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Celtics | 54c | 76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Celtics | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 41c | 67.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Clippers | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Clippers | 57c | 65.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Clippers | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 57c | 58.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Clippers | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Clippers | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked Clippers | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Celtics | 42c | 39.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Celtics | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Celtics | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clippers | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 38c | 29.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Clippers | 62c | 29.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 53c | 28.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Celtics | 54c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Clippers | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 281 | 56.2%158 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Clippers | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7e…1505backed Clippers | 60c | 25.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Clippers | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Clippers | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Clippers | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Celtics | 65c | 22.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Clippers | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…a93fbacked Celtics | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Clippers | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Clippers | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 56c | 20.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Celtics | 65c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Clippers | 59c | 18.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)this page
- Celtics vs. ClippersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.