NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4480e0b58e608e85539f1808d1f07af009838be1ea158a4645510b1c0e23de89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 51c | 6,828$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.5 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 6,517$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 52c | 4,175$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.24 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.82 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Under | 51c | 2,788$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.61 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…64bcbacked Under | 51c | 1,428$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 1,426$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.02 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 52c | 1,077$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,055$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 1,000$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…88d4backed Under | 51c | 839.22$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…04f4backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f422backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 50c | 258$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x780c…7921backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Under | 49c | 248.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 221.11$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 195$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 139$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…61c4backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…7a67backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 49c | 51.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cb…e003backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 49.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…ab9ebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Over | 50c | 37.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 47c | 31.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 48c | 31.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd645…d9f0backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…3a67backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5this page
- Celtics vs. ClippersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.