Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86380e5b76504642c31a87cb944e773c8f46e6a7d900b2fb155b4058da6c905
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 68c | 2,032$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.09 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.98 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 1,532$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,331$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 1,140$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.61 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 25c | 615$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.55 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 38c | 605.26$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.26 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 460.57$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.55 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 362.35$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.23 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 39c | 320.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.97 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 15c | 222.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 195$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 37c | 183.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.46 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 37c | 179.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 35c | 170.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9da6…f159backed No | 62c | 163.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…f08dbacked Yes | 38c | 154.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 36c | 148$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 70c | 140.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 176 | 35.8%63 W · 113 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 64c | 136$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 131.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 36c | 124$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 61c | 124$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +15.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 61c | 103.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 22c | 92.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…dde9backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 38c | 50.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 62cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 36c | 40.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 33.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 48c | 21.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 50c | 21.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed No | 64c | 18.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-25?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-25?No won
- Will Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.