Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80e5b708d1b3906928ebb8d8ec69040e6ce2cfce07716fd4bb5199f08adc45f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 5c | 5,729$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.57 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 5,243$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.9 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 65c | 2,425$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.9 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 1,961$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.34 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 2c | 1,648$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 1,001$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.29 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 35c | 937$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.05 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 64c | 694$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 24c | 599.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 65c | 468.53$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 453.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 445.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 65c | 413.28$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.09 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 65c | 347.06$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…effbbacked No | 66c | 303.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…5129backed Yes | 34c | 292.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 34c | 248$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…a1fcbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 35c | 189.16$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 10c | 182.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 66c | 156$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 145.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 66c | 135$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 66c | 115$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 66c | 112$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 10c | 110.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 86.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 14c | 78.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 65c | 63.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…e304backed Yes | 37c | 47.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…cc14backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 67c | 29.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 20.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 68c | 18.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-25?this page
- Will Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.