Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 3 Uruguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c77ddfeb02b5a9b3787e00f1464e36d17ef74927a140a0f37fc5ab1801a2b0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 15,699$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.15 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 5c | 6,544$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.26 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…f2d9backed Yes | 6c | 4,837$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.89 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 4c | 4,618$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 2,837$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.46 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 6c | 2,223$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 7c | 2,073$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,872$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 7c | 1,776$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 6c | 1,774$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,644$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…8285backed Yes | 6c | 1,626$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…3d56backed Yes | 7c | 1,466$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 7c | 1,432$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 3c | 999.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 8c | 987.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 6c | 854$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 5c | 817$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 6c | 800$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 6c | 788.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…c0e6backed Yes | 7c | 729.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 7c | 724.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…39d3backed Yes | 7c | 712.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…e6d1backed Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 7c | 639.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f1…0fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 637.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 7c | 461$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 5c | 415.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 5c | 370.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 7c | 355.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…dcf8backed Yes | 8c | 320.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 7c | 318.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd5…b6f4backed Yes | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Yes | 7c | 303.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 7c | 284.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…845dbacked Yes | 5c | 272.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Yes | 8c | 253.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d0…3602backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Yes | 6c | 249.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 8c | 243.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 7c | 227.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Yes | 7c | 227.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 7c | 222.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 4c | 222.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…1767backed Yes | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Yes | 7c | 209.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd5…210ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb276…3b11backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5d…3d25backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 3 Uruguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 0 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 1 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 2 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 3 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 1 Uruguay?Yes won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 0 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 1 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 2 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 3 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 3 - 0 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 3 - 1 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 3 - 2 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 3 - 3 Uruguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.