Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 0 Uruguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc57569e1a0d7e52258c465628aa75f0d3649e6e7fb4b09375cf9e33e767ba541
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 2c | 36,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 23,474$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.92 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 2c | 13,630$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.98 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2300…53f8backed Yes | 9c | 3,431$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…0598backed Yes | 11c | 2,852$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…8969backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…6ae0backed Yes | 1c | 2,442$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…1da4backed Yes | 9c | 2,244$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 10c | 1,868$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,578$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,530$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,457$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.67 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 2c | 1,122$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…dcf8backed Yes | 2c | 1,104$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…7e0abacked Yes | 9c | 1,096$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce4b…6e08backed Yes | 8c | 1,070$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…5c13backed Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…5ff2backed Yes | 2c | 1,014$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 5c | 999.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…6598backed Yes | 1c | 971.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…275abacked Yes | 9c | 821.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 103 | 8.7%9 W · 94 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…65debacked Yes | 2c | 726.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…8f39backed Yes | 9c | 686.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 5c | 605.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 7c | 570.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…d2e8backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…3adcbacked Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 4c | 497.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 7c | 410.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…1439backed Yes | 8c | 370.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4d…5b1dbacked Yes | 9c | 326.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8313…40c3backed Yes | 9c | 280.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Yes | 8c | 235.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Yes | 8c | 235.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Yes | 10c | 168.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 236 | 45.3%107 W · 129 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Yes | 9c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 9c | 129$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Yes | 11c | 111.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…0782backed Yes | 10c | 101.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 0 Uruguay?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 0 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 1 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 2 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 3 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 1 Uruguay?Yes won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 3 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 1 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 2 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 3 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 3 - 0 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 3 - 1 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 3 - 2 Uruguay?No won
- Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 3 - 3 Uruguay?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.