Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Qatar?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb50dfe0cf779d98b09cf08b117c3e993738d45f625f8416a6bb058a56909faec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 20,076$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.83 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 13,814$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.68 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 7c | 3,236$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,883$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.11 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,725$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 12c | 1,603$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 13c | 1,485$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.03 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,458$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,263$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 12c | 1,253$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9903backed Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…00b9backed Yes | 12c | 922.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 12c | 879.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…437fbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 13c | 792.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…4665backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 13c | 752.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…c0e6backed Yes | 12c | 741.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 13c | 692.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 12c | 651.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 13c | 530.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 12c | 425$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…98c3backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 12c | 367$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 13c | 314.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…3c77backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…6ad3backed Yes | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes | 12c | 283.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 206 | 30.1%62 W · 144 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f78…8461backed Yes | 16c | 251.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 140 | 29.3%41 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 233.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…ad27backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 27%41 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…ec6dbacked Yes | 13c | 206.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x015b…ce56backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 148 | 31.8%47 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…0e1abacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cd…2589backed Yes | 8c | 182.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…fe73backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…fa27backed Yes | 12c | 162.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b51…c099backed Yes | 14c | 155.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6842backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…bd3abacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…19c8backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…cdc1backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 28.9%37 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510a…995abacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…eea5backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 8c | 132.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…9c50backed Yes | 13c | 130.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 12c | 129.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…b7cabacked Yes | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d76…196fbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 151 | 21.2%32 W · 119 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0553…e967backed Yes | 8c | 121.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…e58fbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…2c6dbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 165 | 28.5%47 W · 118 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3337…238cbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…8c14backed Yes | 13c | 112.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…be22backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaec…9c01backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…2e6fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94a…d680backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba42…27d2backed Yes | 12c | 89.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…0765backed Yes | 14c | 89.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…4d39backed Yes | 12c | 89.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Qatar?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 2 - 3 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Qatar?No won
- Exact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Qatar?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.