TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,534 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb784…61d0backed No75c59,335$44,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,8344658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c21,727$5,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,426.172,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes25c19,132$4,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7832725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes25c14,414$3,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,603.0834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c13,213$3,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.7598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c11,152$7,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,447.3196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked Yes42c8,721$3,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes30c8,223$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.943815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f07…f1bcbacked No75c7,141$5,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,785.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No59c5,115$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.4124238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.23860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c4,271$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.3568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes25c3,333$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.257444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No70c2,497$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.1516838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c2,055$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.0649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No76c1,768$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.35933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed No75c1,680$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.22948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c1,146$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.0441854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c1,121$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes25c895$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.931833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes14c850.79$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.373237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked Yes25c837.4$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.35850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes26c721.37$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5626040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c599$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7535646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1367…54fabacked Yes3c580$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c559.31$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No68c526.62$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.629862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12542347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No75c499.58$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8946047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes32c428.58$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1373435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa308…94b9backed Yes18c378.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes25c369.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3440549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cef…3cd4backed Yes25c366.22$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes14c356.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6538…0a4dbacked Yes26c331.84$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.131844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Yes30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed Yes26c309.96$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.592540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes25c300.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf938…f68ebacked Yes17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed6f…2378backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.96540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.851435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes26c256.3$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.657138%27 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes25c251.02$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7633148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes12c241$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8320431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Yes25c240.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.066437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No75c234$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.63754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No71c232.65$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.824136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fd26backed Yes26c213.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.632045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes25c211.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Yes26c210$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.62536%9 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd399…185fbacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes26c192.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Yes26c192.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8158…4df5backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c85…31d4backed Yes18c187.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Yes27c183.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes24c170.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.68525.9%22 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes25c167.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1923244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes25c159.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2551139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No77c153.37$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0514347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3319…8527backed No75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+80.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe722…d57cbacked Yes34c148.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes29c146.28$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf664…8470backed No76c145.02$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked No70c136.59$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes23c133.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes24c130.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.163228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddf…d8c4backed No76c127.52$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes18c119.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.593650%18 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb6…8255backed Yes25c116$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4522…ef10backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.983228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb070…4761backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4458…d13bbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.12556%14 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes25c95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7532854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes32c94.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9279…ccf1backed No76c93.68$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d60…8cc1backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2590%0 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb350…bfb8backed Yes25c88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20244.2%1 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick18cpaid-85.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34b0…7f68backed Yes26c69.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1850%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6adf…8fb3backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b7…de43backed Yes25c66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.43520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes25c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0323245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes28c64.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.85933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes25c63.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.953638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.