Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe9ec4ad6327e2c4c4512ed33c229e206130b2e9958ad80f1c8ff050cf815912
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,327$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.07 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 75c | 1,282$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.51 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 1,246$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.82 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 1,215$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.97 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 9c | 904$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 577.83$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 75c | 446.78$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 427$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 202$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 158.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 25c | 157.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 26c | 120.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed No | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 25c | 63.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…4a34backed No | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed No | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 76c | 40.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 32.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c03…70d1backed No | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-24?this page
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.