Serie A · resolved market
Will US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb354aada5752924e8763e747d23076e18b05e61ca2f35b8bb913bba7284fa87c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 79c | 6,641$5,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 6,580$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.16 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 4,584$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.88 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 78c | 4,196$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 3,704$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.61 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 79c | 3,467$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.63 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 2,177$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.84 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 1,736$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.81 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 78c | 1,642$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 10c | 1,506$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 22c | 1,484$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.5 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…b900backed No | 79c | 1,362$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 1c | 1,232$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 1,121$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…6c98backed No | 79c | 1,095$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,043$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.97 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 79c | 867.08$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 22c | 759$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 41c | 731.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…d175backed Yes | 23c | 645.84$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 23c | 640.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 2c | 583.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 78c | 577.63$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 22c | 528.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 22c | 410$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 74c | 323.08$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 79c | 316$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…e850backed Yes | 23c | 312.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…c5bebacked Yes | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 291.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 21c | 238.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 210.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…f8d3backed No | 79c | 205$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 22c | 184$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 21c | 179.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 79c | 126$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 23c | 119$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 72c | 107.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 21c | 107.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…cfd3backed Yes | 22c | 106.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 73c | 105.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 22c | 95.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 77c | 84.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…d6c4backed Yes | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 13c | 81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes | 23c | 74.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 22c | 61.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…b514backed Yes | 36c | 54.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…c35dbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5329…e2f3backed Yes | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…d6dcbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 30c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 27c | 37.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 35c | 34.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 73c | 26.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…f545backed No | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 73c | 19.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 16.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…12debacked No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.