Serie A · resolved market
Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a45c71851194eb70f535ab0c46fde8edb8f9fc027e454513ff9d6b12efb2b35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 17,483$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.32 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 1c | 6,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed Yes | 12c | 4,620$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 10c | 3,377$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.02 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 3,050$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,552$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,426$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 12c | 1,144$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.33 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 9c | 699.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 9c | 640.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 544.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 8c | 515.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 466.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 11c | 462.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…e850backed Yes | 12c | 448.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…d31cbacked Yes | 11c | 436.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 12c | 390.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…3ed4backed Yes | 8c | 310.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 10c | 293.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…f89fbacked Yes | 12c | 288.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed Yes | 12c | 274$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 10c | 270.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes | 5c | 207.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 11c | 185$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…08f7backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 11c | 142$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…13d4backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…a914backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e6…8f15backed Yes | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…cfd3backed Yes | 12c | 107.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…0fc4backed Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
- Will US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.