TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6b1…f8d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$96.36
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$246.81
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$647.18
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.25
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$284.51
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.55
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.55
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$786.09
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$817.14
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$701.04
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$803.43
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$295.9
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.1
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.03
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+25.1%+$74.85
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$191.52
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$413.22
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$163.2
Wizards vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$99.8
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+56.2%+$145.08
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$308.7
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$316.56
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21.17
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.49
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$263.63
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.54
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.08
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.02
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$464.23
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$688.32
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.6
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.92
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.4
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$686.09
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.44
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$726.42
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$820.5
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$287.16
Will Cameroon vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+33.3%+$101.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+154.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+182.3%+$22.6
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+127.3%+$15.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$340.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.