Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38e8386b2cc5d0e40612fbb42c3c35b7e75423f26b88be407900bf412a7ba713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNCW Seahawksof UNCW Seahawks, Campbell Fighting Camels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 37,457$18,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,316.69 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed UNCW Seahawks | 51c | 29,076$14,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,247.19 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed UNCW Seahawks | 54c | 3,107$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.9 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked UNCW Seahawks | 54c | 1,836$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.45 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNCW Seahawks | 52c | 1,644$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNCW Seahawks | 51c | 1,032$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed UNCW Seahawks | 55c | 631.14$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.17 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked UNCW Seahawks | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UNCW Seahawks | 52c | 396.51$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 45c | 242.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UNCW Seahawks | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 97.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…36f3backed UNCW Seahawks | 55c | 72.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 45c | 65.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 30c | 39.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-2.5)this page
- UNCW Seahawks vs. Campbell Fighting CamelsUNCW Seahawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.