CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb749ac927a443b355a8fddd559d9826ce589a364b7aa4b5ac2d14a97b0ba6a5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 8,241$6,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.65 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0e…1f6cbacked Over | 28c | 7,114$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Over | 10c | 2,828$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.81 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 73c | 1,000$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 47c | 995$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.23 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 48c | 829$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.25 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Under | 78c | 692.44$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.34 | 772 | 47.8%369 W · 403 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 34c | 652.37$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.62 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 74c | 254.16$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 40c | 210.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Under | 79c | 182.43$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…26afbacked Over | 17c | 169.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 29c | 164$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…85e6backed Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Under | 79c | 120.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Under | 76c | 114.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…4c72backed Under | 76c | 100.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x804e…d85fbacked Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 33c | 99.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 73c | 87.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…1ce9backed Under | 76c | 79.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Under | 76c | 76.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…e7acbacked Over | 27c | 70.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Under | 75c | 59.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked Over | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…b4c0backed Over | 50c | 49.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…360bbacked Over | 26c | 42.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 77c | 33.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Under | 66c | 30.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Under | 48c | 26.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…c5ebbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Under | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 64c | 18.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 72c | 18.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierVitality won
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.