CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aae627b7aef25276d6c1ead4b27890eb4239aeadc7b18e6ac2b997514669f62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, EYEBALLERS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4602…3315backed Vitality | 73c | 7,923$5,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.25 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed EYEBALLERS | 27c | 6,758$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed EYEBALLERS | 26c | 6,704$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.92 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked Vitality | 74c | 5,089$3,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.2 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed EYEBALLERS | 27c | 3,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed Vitality | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.24 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Vitality | 74c | 855.77$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.17 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked EYEBALLERS | 27c | 825.8$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Vitality | 72c | 822.2$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.22 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed EYEBALLERS | 25c | 500.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Vitality | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed Vitality | 73c | 404.92$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…7011backed Vitality | 74c | 372.95$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Vitality | 73c | 329.98$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed EYEBALLERS | 24c | 319.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Vitality | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed EYEBALLERS | 26c | 194$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Vitality | 74c | 194$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…c5ebbacked Vitality | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…945abacked Vitality | 74c | 114.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Vitality | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked EYEBALLERS | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfd…2818backed Vitality | 76c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Vitality | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Vitality | 76c | 66.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Vitality | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Vitality | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a0…0403backed EYEBALLERS | 27c | 50.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Vitality | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed EYEBALLERS | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked EYEBALLERS | 28c | 39.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Vitality | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Vitality | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…8340backed Vitality | 76c | 26.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierVitality won
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.