CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1fd52cb5a97b3ab868577e13b0220ba3445a4627dd25f9b541a5aced38db14a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Legacy | 75c | 33,079$24,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,122.77 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FlyQuest | 35c | 18,269$6,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,304.09 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed FlyQuest | 16c | 17,500$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.8 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed FlyQuest | 20c | 3,679$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.73 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…126cbacked Legacy | 73c | 3,589$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Legacy | 66c | 1,814$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.29 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed FlyQuest | 34c | 1,685$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.78 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Legacy | 65c | 1,681$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.19 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed FlyQuest | 33c | 1,612$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.66 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Legacy | 67c | 1,525$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.6 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Legacy | 68c | 1,500$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FlyQuest | 33c | 1,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Legacy | 68c | 1,488$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.79 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked FlyQuest | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Legacy | 66c | 1,177$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.18 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FlyQuest | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed FlyQuest | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed FlyQuest | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FlyQuest | 27c | 971.49$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.8 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Legacy | 67c | 935$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.55 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Legacy | 77c | 841.16$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed FlyQuest | 32c | 722.25$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.05 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Legacy | 68c | 715$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FlyQuest | 28c | 624$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.28 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Legacy | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed FlyQuest | 9c | 556.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Legacy | 77c | 537$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Legacy | 71c | 529.37$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Legacy | 69c | 527.54$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.63 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked FlyQuest | 21c | 508.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked FlyQuest | 16c | 475$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed FlyQuest | 26c | 467.65$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed FlyQuest | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Legacy | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed Legacy | 67c | 400$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed FlyQuest | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed FlyQuest | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed FlyQuest | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked FlyQuest | 21c | 259.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FlyQuest | 15c | 240.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked FlyQuest | 14c | 230$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked FlyQuest | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Legacy | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…7befbacked FlyQuest | 17c | 174.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FlyQuest | 29c | 161.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed FlyQuest | 34c | 152.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Legacy | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Legacy | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked FlyQuest | 15c | 146.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3805…50d0backed Legacy | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed FlyQuest | 21c | 114.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed FlyQuest | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed FlyQuest | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…6c83backed FlyQuest | 28c | 79.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Legacy | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed FlyQuest | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Legacy | 67c | 33.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed FlyQuest | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed Legacy | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…920cbacked Legacy | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Legacy | 73c | 19.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.