TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a5c…a375backed Zero Tenacity28c223,221$62,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,472.333438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nigma Galaxy72c150,000$108,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,0005549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Nigma Galaxy72c26,000$18,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2804940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nigma Galaxy72c22,122$15,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,194.1619847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Nigma Galaxy72c18,888$13,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,288.6416842.9%72 W · 96 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Nigma Galaxy72c8,174$5,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.722744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Nigma Galaxy73c3,075$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.8856852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Zero Tenacity26c2,980$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.2281029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Nigma Galaxy72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42032241.6%134 W · 188 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Nigma Galaxy74c1,334$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.7524251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Nigma Galaxy72c1,144$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.3210618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Zero Tenacity23c1,083$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4820727.5%57 W · 150 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Zero Tenacity24c931.62$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9169235.3%244 W · 448 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Nigma Galaxy77c734.61$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9613854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7491…ada0backed Nigma Galaxy76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy79c578.74$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.531,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Zero Tenacity21c559.69$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2137223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Nigma Galaxy75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Nigma Galaxy74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13080544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Zero Tenacity25c444.97$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3212740.9%52 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Zero Tenacity19c442.96$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.145932.2%19 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Nigma Galaxy75c351$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7519643.9%86 W · 110 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Zero Tenacity24c298.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.587835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Zero Tenacity6c286$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.828050%140 W · 140 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy75c257.82$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4651550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Nigma Galaxy77c256.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.921050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed Nigma Galaxy76c251.33$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.328934.8%31 W · 58 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x98da…f3c6backed Nigma Galaxy75c216.08$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.021770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity23c201.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.052,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy79c201.18$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Nigma Galaxy74c199.54$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy77c197.24$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3653558.9%315 W · 220 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Nigma Galaxy75c186$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.55850%29 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Nigma Galaxy76c168$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.326749.3%33 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nigma Galaxy75c160.24$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.719857.1%113 W · 85 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a0c…48fdbacked Nigma Galaxy74c148.81$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Nigma Galaxy74c144.53$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.246848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy76c143.09$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.872,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b0…6960backed Nigma Galaxy76c128.72$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.898055%44 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Nigma Galaxy72c103.24$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.912458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Nigma Galaxy77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2326846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Zero Tenacity27c99.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720738.6%80 W · 127 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Nigma Galaxy74c99.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2622845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeed9…9d5ebacked Nigma Galaxy75c99.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…cefdbacked Nigma Galaxy74c98.44$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.591877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aea…68debacked Nigma Galaxy76c97$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Zero Tenacity26c96.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.218432.1%27 W · 57 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde3b…2180backed Zero Tenacity25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.881216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cf1…d625backed Zero Tenacity24c95.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Nigma Galaxy73c90.51$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.442951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Nigma Galaxy76c88.3$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.192231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd19e…e997backed Nigma Galaxy76c80.77$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.383650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Nigma Galaxy74c79.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Nigma Galaxy74c76.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.928957.3%51 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5495…fc8cbacked Nigma Galaxy75c75.72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.58650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Nigma Galaxy72c73.74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.651560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Nigma Galaxy73c68.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.871,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Nigma Galaxy75c57.65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4121253.8%114 W · 98 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Zero Tenacity20c50.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2410728%30 W · 77 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x542b…8aa7backed Zero Tenacity28c48.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.342123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53f8…f76ebacked Nigma Galaxy75c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c68…570cbacked Zero Tenacity25c42.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.742748.1%13 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa590…271cbacked Nigma Galaxy77c39.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.131040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e8…db37backed Nigma Galaxy75c39.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.794266.7%28 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Nigma Galaxy76c38.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3476048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1125…1d8ebacked Nigma Galaxy76c37.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.92065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945b…f3ebbacked Nigma Galaxy74c33.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+110.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy73c31.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.551,25549.6%623 W · 632 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed Nigma Galaxy75c30.54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Nigma Galaxy75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.520763.3%131 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Nigma Galaxy74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.896942.8%415 W · 554 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc516…7f3abacked Nigma Galaxy74c26.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6c…0a74backed Nigma Galaxy74c25.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nigma Galaxy77c21.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1591…9bc9backed Nigma Galaxy72c21.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.034100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Nigma Galaxy76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Nigma Galaxy75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b00…795fbacked Nigma Galaxy74c19.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.19875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596b…e891backed Nigma Galaxy80c18.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.71250%6 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x28af…7de0backed Nigma Galaxy72c17.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.961369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d81…360ebacked Nigma Galaxy72c16.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6855…ba24backed Nigma Galaxy72c15.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.211258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Nigma Galaxy79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.151968.4%13 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab67…9e89backed Nigma Galaxy72c14.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Nigma Galaxy74c14.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6510571.4%75 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.