Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef1b3e21268bbfc758f2b674f7376abfe8a74149e1573d8624a7d05fb5d53c6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef18…ea40backed Zero Tenacity | 3c | 5,119$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.89 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 1,559$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.3 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…5a1bbacked Zero Tenacity | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.34 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 1,066$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.88 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 1,054$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.35 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 936.25$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.33 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 640.32$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.15 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 630.05$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.69 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 611.44$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.37 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 580.25$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 563.11$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Zero Tenacity | 19c | 548.9$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 518.8$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.05 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 516.57$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.05 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Zero Tenacity | 28c | 310.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Zero Tenacity | 23c | 209.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Zero Tenacity | 11c | 165.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 21c | 139.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 133.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 133.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 111.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 103.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Zero Tenacity | 18c | 100.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 98.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 92.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 91.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 88.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity | 21c | 81.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity | 26c | 67.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Zero Tenacity | 31c | 62.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…71cebacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…eccabacked Zero Tenacity | 31c | 52.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 49.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…08e5backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 47.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…5721backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 29.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 24.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.