Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f88e6bba5e0913cee4a5c0a2037edff260769fc808e0d68e4c3056cd793fa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 46c | 7,609$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 46c | 7,536$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070.77 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 4,854$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.22 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 54c | 4,625$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.38 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 27c | 4,236$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.37 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 53c | 3,429$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.7 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Yes | 51c | 1,225$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.49 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,033$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…bdf1backed No | 42c | 999.11$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…fea3backed No | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 71c | 666.49$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.84 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341e…9b67backed Yes | 51c | 653.88$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 47c | 499.95$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.98 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 418.38$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.6 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 45c | 373.38$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 54c | 350.41$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.46 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 283.77$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 54c | 185.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 65c | 183.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…ea43backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 51c | 109.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 50c | 108.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 65c | 91.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…bb37backed Yes | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…13bebacked Yes | 51c | 70.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…502abacked Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 48c | 64.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 46c | 48.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…212abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…0d12backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe71…b183backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 49c | 27.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will BK Häcken vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?No won
- Will BK Häcken win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.