Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf608a775d7e64c9124456f88b3d98f9eb3b6a3e2c27eac83d54b7d9952ede4b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof Xtreme Gaming, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed OG | 51c | 29,406$14,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,525.8 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 20,766$10,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,265.37 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…0765backed Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 16,400$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 52c | 5,883$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.68 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 5,632$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.37 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 4,600$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 4,379$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.4 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 61c | 4,335$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.92 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked OG | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed OG | 44c | 2,990$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.17 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…ade4backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 2,306$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…ca43backed OG | 59c | 1,744$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked OG | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 1,228$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.87 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…1094backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…6aedbacked OG | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…a1c8backed OG | 43c | 1,190$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 1,050$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked OG | 66c | 1,017$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.61 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…6d77backed Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 999.99$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.61 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 41c | 962.53$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.89 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 859.13$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked OG | 71c | 803.02$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.42 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 794.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…4a04backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 789.76$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 778.75$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.76 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…21a1backed OG | 43c | 770$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…f266backed OG | 43c | 765$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…51d7backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 746.69$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.33 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…7c64backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 730$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…48bdbacked OG | 43c | 730$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 704.03$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 667$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.86 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 650$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed OG | 43c | 649.06$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.13 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 591$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.88 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 583.57$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…9fbbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 580$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked OG | 42c | 552.26$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.31 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd03…a537backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 550$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 542.07$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.64 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed OG | 47c | 536.81$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.81 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…444fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 513.95$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed OG | 57c | 508.25$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.1 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed OG | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed OG | 55c | 476.53$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.1 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…5a7abacked OG | 43c | 470$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…5121backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 460$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…79a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 454.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…fd89backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 390$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…3d0cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 386.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed OG | 40c | 382.75$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.65 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OG | 41c | 380$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.2 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 373.82$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.02 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 373.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 363.16$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…a023backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 340$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 326.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…1c20backed OG | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 318.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…99e4backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 305$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed OG | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 249.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd55…fc45backed Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 234.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…9f46backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 215.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…0225backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 215$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 211.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked OG | 58c | 202.82$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked OG | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0b…0d3bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 190$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed OG | 41c | 189.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.14 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed OG | 62c | 180.02$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked OG | 54c | 167.3$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 166.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…40f4backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 165$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 153.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed OG | 42c | 149.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…922ebacked OG | 54c | 129.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 121.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed OG | 51c | 121.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed OG | 46c | 116.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked OG | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9a…6e9ebacked OG | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed OG | 52c | 111.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed OG | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 102.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 101.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed OG | 43c | 100.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked OG | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked OG | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.