Golf · resolved market
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup Day 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f1508bac5a9072ce280ff0117f71995e1e10bdad9f0c02e4ae77a781ac8baf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8309…62b1backed No | 68c | 1,473$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 24c | 1,052$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.88 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 38c | 830$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed No | 31c | 680.02$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 640$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 51c | 594.18$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…2bb3backed Yes | 38c | 520$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 24c | 497.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 46c | 263.59$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 32c | 180.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 37c | 161.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…6241backed No | 67c | 89.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 33c | 78.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…2089backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +169.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db0…25c7backed Yes | 55c | 36.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…693cbacked Yes | 73c | 34.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…b6debacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 18cpaid | +204.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…0319backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup Day 1?this page
- Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup Day 1?No won
- Will the 2025 Ryder Cup end in a tie?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.