Golf · resolved market
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup Day 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1084aa3a0f011a995dd8e5ff44901f584306c8660cf284d26873f23662a0a0d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86f2…503fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,459$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 50c | 819.32$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 56c | 575.98$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 70c | 487.58$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 460.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…2bb3backed No | 50c | 399.46$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 48c | 320.7$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.42 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…821cbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…ecf7backed Yes | 66c | 150.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ef5cbacked Yes | 51c | 132.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked Yes | 24c | 119.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…0fd5backed Yes | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 65c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup Day 1?this page
- Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup Day 1?Yes won
- Will the 2025 Ryder Cup end in a tie?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.