La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9f95af3e4834b833b7748fc6f553e76df57d7b1c5cf20eb77ae327659ec8f4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 21c | 7,228$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 5,054$3,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.07 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 20c | 3,693$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.6 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 2c | 3,265$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…8c5cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,363$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.97 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 23c | 1,312$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 79c | 1,056$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.64 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 8c | 1,007$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 924.88$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.08 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 17c | 808.52$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.53 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 79c | 649.11$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 17c | 545.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 532$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31f0…cbf9backed Yes | 21c | 472.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 22c | 444.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3ddcbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 19c | 380$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 79c | 267$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 80c | 262.28$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…b070backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…61a9backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 12c | 195$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 184$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 78c | 180$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed No | 80c | 178.35$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…343fbacked Yes | 17c | 175.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…1f68backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 15c | 128.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…d978backed Yes | 14c | 103.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41fb…b6b0backed Yes | 13c | 100.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 78c | 97.47$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 17c | 97.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 14c | 92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 78c | 82.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Yes | 18c | 82.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b3…0240backed Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…fa80backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0600…50fbbacked Yes | 19c | 74.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 18c | 73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…32c3backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 17c | 61.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 80c | 55.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 51.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 80c | 50.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…af22backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…078cbacked No | 80c | 36.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 78c | 32.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 79c | 26.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 80c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 80c | 19.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 17.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 80c | 14.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 78c | 13.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…ff36backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 80cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.