Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb82e1010aa54d09b8f32772ee8ea3bec5664057f8c425dbcfd7c7c3b1ffe9e3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1af3…2ddcbacked No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 1c | 8,975$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 60c | 4,517$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…9d85backed Yes | 45c | 3,151$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…f32ebacked No | 0c | 3,120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…f5b2backed Yes | 69c | 2,815$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.41 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed No | 2c | 2,778$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 30c | 2,753$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.45 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 2,587$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked No | 21c | 1,958$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.43 | 601 | 27.3%164 W · 437 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 1c | 1,932$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee2…6580backed Yes | 49c | 1,867$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.93 | 210 | 28.6%60 W · 150 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395b…abcebacked No | 55c | 1,851$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 60c | 1,815$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x915b…2729backed No | 3c | 1,685$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 122 | 18.9%23 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 3c | 1,671$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 259 | 5.4%14 W · 245 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 2c | 1,640$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 3c | 1,514$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 211 | 4.7%10 W · 201 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 2c | 1,382$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 130 | 14.6%19 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…e50ebacked No | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 1,241$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,097$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7e…e65fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked No | 6c | 999.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 21c | 928.39$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed No | 38c | 917.12$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.57 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 25c | 809.46$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 60c | 752.57$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.35 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719e…0a21backed Yes | 45c | 741$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…e985backed No | 2c | 725$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 38c | 720.8$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.26 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes | 47c | 680$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.47 | 280 | 34.3%96 W · 184 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 3c | 648.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…666fbacked No | 3c | 588.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 586.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…e94ebacked No | 55c | 581$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…0e63backed No | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 74c | 530.44$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.14 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 20c | 506.15$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.92 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 279 | 4.7%13 W · 266 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba47…a89bbacked No | 4c | 428.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c30…a7fcbacked Yes | 42c | 411.92$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb1…17d7backed Yes | 29c | 390.42$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.06 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…17adbacked No | 39c | 382.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed Yes | 60c | 328.4$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…5a44backed Yes | 29c | 325.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +239.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c473backed Yes | 51c | 313.07$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -87%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Yes | 59c | 308.86$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb1…a0ebbacked No | 36c | 276.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…1632backed Yes | 47c | 271.67$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.07 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 270.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b04…6632backed Yes | 72c | 270$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +72%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 38c | 263.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…66dfbacked Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…7040backed Yes | 25c | 235.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…46d0backed Yes | 45c | 223.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 56c | 222.45$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 261 | 5.4%14 W · 247 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…2a55backed No | 41c | 198.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…a9edbacked Yes | 51c | 195.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…1bcbbacked Yes | 33c | 193.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.06 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…61a9backed Yes | 42c | 191.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efc…eadbbacked Yes | 31c | 190.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78a…9f65backed No | 39c | 178.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 133 | 12.8%17 W · 116 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…d74bbacked Yes | 73c | 171.6$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…1cb8backed No | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…137cbacked Yes | 78c | 159.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…f48dbacked No | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 48c | 141.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 83 | 12%10 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…b0fabacked Yes | 79c | 136.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…7416backed Yes | 41c | 121.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked Yes | 49c | 115.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…dc79backed Yes | 33c | 111.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…4e7dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 74 | 10.8%8 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…6459backed No | 48c | 93.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 63c | 92.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Yes | 26c | 89.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 28c | 83.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087c…5c55backed Yes | 30c | 80.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…d8cebacked Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…b0fbbacked Yes | 24c | 75.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…93e1backed Yes | 42c | 75.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…7d38backed Yes | 79c | 63.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b34…7eb8backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 181 | 18.8%34 W · 147 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 34c | 59.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 334 | 15.6%52 W · 282 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cb…b97abacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…4d58backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x774f…8779backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…99adbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…5d14backed Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…79b0backed Yes | 60c | 48.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +295.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…ccc1backed Yes | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +313.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…1481backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 172 | 8.7%15 W · 157 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 29c | 44.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5d…0049backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +170.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in January 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in January 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.