TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,103,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,078,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,103,922 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 582 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked No34c325,113$110,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214,574.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes66c300,000$198,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No74c74,321$55,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,129.8431636.1%114 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes27c44,347$12,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,134.5323645.8%108 W · 128 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No34c38,147$13,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,015.197045.7%32 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes28c32,981$9,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,367.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b22…cf22backed Yes48c23,843$11,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,344.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes66c22,727$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes65c22,039$14,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,425.56850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No37c20,685$7,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,109.2754349.9%271 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe09…980abacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes66c17,282$11,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,405.92227.3%6 W · 16 L-7.2wins-0.33per pick60cpaid-58%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Yes40c17,000$6,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,827.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes64c16,253$10,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,462.223345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No35c15,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,7509244.6%41 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No34c14,900$5,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,833.943650%18 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes14c14,201$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.9244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-87.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked No35c13,573$4,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,803.81560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+93.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9453…1a48backed Yes12c12,053$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No34c11,920$4,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,867.175240.4%21 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c11,679$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,729.441,93345.3%876 W · 1,057 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No51c11,113$5,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,484.731070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+96.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Yes47c10,800$5,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,07610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c9,554$6,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,514.291,42640.8%582 W · 844 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes62c9,376$5,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,791.351435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15c8…d2d0backed No35c9,370$3,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,052.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+182.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No34c8,823$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,823.492420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No78c7,028$5,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.6246533.3%155 W · 310 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes63c6,846$4,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,291.044969.4%34 W · 15 L+7.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+57.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No35c6,383$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,156.8931248.1%150 W · 162 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked No52c6,252$3,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,012.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes26c5,402$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.977342.5%31 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x578a…c93ebacked Yes64c5,360$3,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,427.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes49c5,279$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+75.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes5c5,274$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.094050%20 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes44c5,127$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.1127046.3%125 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No56c4,916$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes36c4,895$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.3913849.3%68 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No73c4,822$3,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.819349.7%96 W · 97 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No35c4,656$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,025.164751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes66c4,545$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c4,508$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.1349348.5%239 W · 254 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes45c4,154$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.633243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No34c4,018$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.94714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-58%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes35c4,000$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.921540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4161…e71dbacked Yes52c3,864$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes65c3,708$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4101030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes56c3,236$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.571050%5 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+515.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x580e…88c8backed Yes43c3,228$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked No52c3,174$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes19c3,009$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Yes68c2,941$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No63c2,939$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.1910144.6%45 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No58c2,916$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6d…957ebacked Yes66c2,879$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67f8…6f42backed Yes16c2,853$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.581070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+121.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No36c2,494$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…1d11backed Yes57c2,450$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes28c2,436$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes37c2,407$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.033043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd543…c181backed Yes62c2,404$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No41c2,370$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.452352.2%12 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+51.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe3f…512dbacked Yes14c2,336$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed No54c2,329$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes66c2,312$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.212860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+58.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked No51c2,277$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes66c2,266$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.848734.5%30 W · 57 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes39c2,240$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.082055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes11c2,109$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed No74c2,092$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Yes49c2,042$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Yes64c2,031$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed No34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa462…7b59backed Yes51c1,966$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes47c1,845$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.29933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes49c1,778$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes3c1,753$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.594348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+99%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes64c1,726$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.482846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes19c1,669$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No32c1,643$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.248355.4%46 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No69c1,611$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.752540%10 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4acb…ddd3backed Yes64c1,601$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No36c1,599$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.573023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes65c1,590$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.762240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Yes18c1,567$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.05650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fda…b498backed Yes11c1,565$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf98d…384ebacked Yes16c1,563$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes64c1,562$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.685540%22 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+23.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf6aa…4e0ebacked Yes47c1,560$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes12c1,558$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Yes65c1,538$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Yes52c1,534$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Yes8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+50.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a4…3c66backed Yes59c1,500$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed No57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No36c1,441$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes64c1,406$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.