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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe154…0b7fbacked No42c10,828$4,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,556.21244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-87.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes58c10,141$5,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,218.6331636.1%114 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes57c8,054$4,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,468.551070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+96.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No79c7,082$5,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,605.482536%9 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes62c7,054$4,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.171,42640.8%582 W · 844 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Yes23c5,917$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,556.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No77c5,858$4,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,511.3719349.7%96 W · 97 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes21c5,793$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,566.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+50.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No39c5,000$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c4,312$3,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,303.661,93345.3%876 W · 1,057 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes62c4,000$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes20c3,536$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.7254349.9%271 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Yes20c3,395$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.12560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+93.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No26c2,591$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.41955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No80c2,523$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.321942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes59c2,250$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes23c1,952$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Yes61c1,911$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.25540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No49c1,754$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.5223645.8%108 W · 128 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes56c1,706$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No32c1,611$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.931127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc8…262bbacked Yes24c1,500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes23c1,500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+143%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No76c1,323$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.4615749%77 W · 80 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No48c1,194$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5787342.5%31 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No60c1,185$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…98bebacked Yes24c928.29$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.5475%3 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick20cpaid+345.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No77c816.91$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.6849348.5%239 W · 254 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.661080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+45.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No51c674.29$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.7813849.3%68 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes60c666.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes23c652.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.071225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes45c608.6$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No80c567.1$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.685540%22 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+23.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.24650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+62%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5cb…6303backed Yes27c513.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+292.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508145.7%37 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes22c402$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.56742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x405e…9c34backed Yes24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3041100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…01e5backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+223.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No75c360$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705360.4%32 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1406235.5%22 W · 40 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-40.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No76c342.18$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.682540%10 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76b…9b3ebacked Yes60c340$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No53c325.31$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.621163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked Yes62c322.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.54924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No80c312$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.61030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes14c292.72$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.221127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes28c285.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.712548%12 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No78c263.28$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3818655.4%103 W · 83 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed Yes20c254.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes19c236.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6646533.3%155 W · 310 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d60…8cc1backed Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.39742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x852e…e616backed Yes24c214.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+112.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c213.29$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6488044.2%389 W · 491 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No79c211.51$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.091435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7249…f5dabacked Yes25c206.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No75c200.15$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1610144.6%45 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+82%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1581060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Yes17c194.12$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No79c191.24$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4226841.4%111 W · 157 L-15.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes11c190.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes54c184.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.937100%7 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+166.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf13d…afc3backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+70.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9018…c54cbacked Yes17c176.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes26c166$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes23c160.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.91650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No71c158.92$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.954050%20 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes16c156.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.25837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+54.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb31…fe71backed Yes66c152.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes38c150.13$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.63580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x457e…c5b1backed No40c148.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes20c135.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0624042.5%102 W · 138 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed No37c130$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No44c123$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.122653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes26c121$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.54850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5161…9ea1backed Yes25c119.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+192.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes17c119$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.77850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+52.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Yes59c118.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcea…a91cbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No77c105.13$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.771957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes20c105$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8414144.7%63 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Yes24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519c…8ae9backed Yes24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No46c104$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8427046.3%125 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ad…8c4ebacked Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf166…fb37backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes47c97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.952352.2%12 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+51.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e9e…208cbacked Yes17c96.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+107.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb855…c1bebacked Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes19c92.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x638a…64e2backed Yes29c92.34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.