Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9ab01d8834ea40db24686cb8062e010bf809c0425203250c303f8ddf8288f2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 73c | 7,550$5,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.06 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 24c | 7,023$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.28 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 27c | 5,264$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.83 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 73c | 4,019$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.28 | 144 | 34.7%50 W · 94 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 78c | 3,880$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.08 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 72c | 3,188$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.78 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 27c | 2,849$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.03 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 28c | 2,029$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.15 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 28c | 2,026$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.09 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 72c | 2,021$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.05 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 28c | 1,505$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.48 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…6122backed No | 2c | 1,423$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 1,037$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.86 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 72c | 999.97$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 17c | 930.59$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 38c | 844.05$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.74 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 30c | 723$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.16 | 896 | 48.2%432 W · 464 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 72c | 700.87$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 73c | 671.42$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.28 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 26c | 621.45$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.52 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 28c | 619.59$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.9 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 9c | 594.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Yes | 72c | 589.3$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 73c | 499$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.73 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 78c | 492.82$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8780…002ebacked Yes | 73c | 479.21$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 21c | 475.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.59 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Yes | 45c | 444.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 28c | 439.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.09 | 472 | 44.9%212 W · 260 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…6a8abacked Yes | 47c | 429$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…09a3backed No | 28c | 333.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 74c | 332.72$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…6fa9backed No | 28c | 328.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Yes | 39c | 320.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 39c | 316.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 28c | 313.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 27c | 282.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…625abacked Yes | 72c | 277.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 76c | 247.59$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 72c | 227.31$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed No | 27c | 227.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 73c | 188.25$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 28c | 181.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked No | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 72c | 150.87$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 35c | 146$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…490ebacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed Yes | 72c | 138.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 73c | 118.83$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 29c | 118.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Yes | 55c | 99.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 28c | 97.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Yes | 63c | 96.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 72c | 94.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 14c | 93.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 77c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 28c | 88.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 344 | 49.1%169 W · 175 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 63c | 88.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 73c | 87.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 75c | 79.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 147 | 49%72 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes | 64c | 73.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 28c | 60.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 39c | 58.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed No | 31c | 47.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 72c | 47.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 59c | 46.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 70c | 45.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 429 | 57.1%245 W · 184 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked No | 29c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed No | 28c | 42.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…3a8dbacked Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 70c | 36.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 36.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 28c | 36.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 45c | 35.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 128 | 73.4%94 W · 34 L | +19.8wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 66c | 31.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 29.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 72c | 29.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Yes | 72c | 28.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…81b5backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 50c | 26.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.0wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed Yes | 75c | 26.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Yes | 73c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Sion end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.