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Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,160,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,347,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,160,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 556 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86da…6428backed No34c204,998$69,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,699.441040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes65c150,000$97,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,499.992548%12 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No38c139,043$52,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,281.0211451.8%59 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No37c137,900$50,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,932.543145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes69c75,830$52,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,260.232128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-59.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes66c75,758$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,757.581040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes63c45,466$28,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,654.5138039.7%151 W · 229 L+1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No39c43,833$16,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,903.363435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No24c38,632$9,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,389.724528.9%13 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No33c31,644$10,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,529.921330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes67c27,870$18,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,156.24447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Yes59c25,433$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,432.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Yes66c22,253$14,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,566.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes67c18,282$12,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,987.2923839.1%93 W · 145 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c16,788$6,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,050.562,02339.4%798 W · 1,225 L-10.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes68c16,295$11,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,192.0836827.4%101 W · 267 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No34c15,485$5,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,264.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes60c14,754$8,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,872.121435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Yes66c13,692$9,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,655.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed No44c12,147$5,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,334.5160%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2f0…eed9backed Yes66c12,102$7,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No30c9,055$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716.011637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb399…608ebacked Yes56c8,929$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes62c7,981$4,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,037.8414846.6%69 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No34c7,875$2,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,677.455545.5%25 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No38c7,579$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes66c7,576$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.761464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd2…6657backed Yes65c6,897$4,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes66c6,585$4,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.03875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4ee…cc59backed Yes66c6,059$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes54c5,877$3,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.956855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes66c5,790$3,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.0727241.2%112 W · 160 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes66c5,526$3,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.831478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed No34c5,168$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.121283.3%10 W · 2 L+5.8wins+0.48per pick35cpaid+140%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No31c4,943$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.747634.2%26 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes66c4,500$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.963966.7%26 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes68c4,454$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.3224846.4%115 W · 133 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes66c4,168$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.3411636.2%42 W · 74 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes63c4,100$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.992560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes66c4,025$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.611353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No34c4,000$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No20c3,972$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.7655038.9%214 W · 336 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd3…47b6backed Yes54c3,838$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fe…8591backed Yes66c3,788$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.881050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes66c3,574$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes72c3,571$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.541040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes67c3,204$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.468644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes69c3,036$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.162860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e9…b9efbacked Yes66c2,971$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x298b…f406backed Yes51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No30c2,825$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.51540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes68c2,800$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8921190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick64cpaid+42.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Yes64c2,547$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.49785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No33c2,421$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.417856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes66c2,369$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.532466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes64c2,328$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes80c2,249$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.0432939.5%130 W · 199 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24e…1be8backed No34c2,200$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.4340%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No21c2,191$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.445717.5%10 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick17cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes66c2,090$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.6529351.5%151 W · 142 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes66c2,073$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.7241253.2%219 W · 193 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No1c2,025$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes56c2,010$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.449246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Yes65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70010650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6807028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32014418.8%27 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked Yes66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6802100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c80…08ffbacked No35c1,974$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No36c1,944$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.847657.9%44 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed No47c1,915$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7062…9f54backed No35c1,860$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Yes62c1,848$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.441323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes57c1,830$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.398248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997f…b0f7backed Yes51c1,749$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes56c1,738$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.74858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4058…49d2backed Yes65c1,713$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No33c1,620$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.5372050.1%361 W · 359 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd23a…d952backed Yes63c1,591$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes56c1,586$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.713354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes66c1,586$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.1199944.7%447 W · 552 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6aa…4e0ebacked Yes66c1,530$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes66c1,520$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.81560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…3364backed Yes66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54bc…d80ebacked Yes70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7997…5e4bbacked Yes70c1,390$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4172100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes57c1,386$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No24c1,385$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.6751349.3%253 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes80c1,308$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Yes66c1,280$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes65c1,280$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.12875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No33c1,274$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.4744654.7%244 W · 202 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes66c1,203$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-62.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes57c1,197$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No36c1,177$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.691154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.