Serie A · resolved market
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d12278abed2520cf5297e761d247bd4b07f8a9442f1ffd1bc6bc7190b5ae2ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 2c | 21,057$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 10c | 8,649$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,871$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.17 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 13c | 2,045$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487e…0d66backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 1,196$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 380 | 39.7%151 W · 229 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 144 | 18.8%27 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 11c | 779.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…089abacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…1b6bbacked Yes | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 13c | 554$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 10c | 476.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 272 | 41.2%112 W · 160 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 456$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 2,579 | 45.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…e746backed Yes | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 12c | 339.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 412 | 53.2%219 W · 193 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 9c | 328.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 9c | 326.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 999 | 44.7%447 W · 552 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 9c | 309$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 4c | 261.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 13c | 129.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 13c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 11c | 94.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Venezia FC win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?No won
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.