TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-07-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,009
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,009 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No32c13,704$4,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,445.062,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes72c10,473$7,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.985269.2%36 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No20c9,200$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.4155845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes80c8,959$7,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.372,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60c1…0438backed Yes64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No32c4,909$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.261,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No24c4,202$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.83,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes59c4,171$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.8543344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No40c3,814$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.362,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No41c3,037$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.2110249%50 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed Yes59c2,564$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.64966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No37c2,508$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.15158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes57c2,283$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.231442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes58c2,097$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.0414352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes61c1,967$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.9417233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked No39c1,610$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No38c1,513$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.3396947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes64c1,368$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.3665535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No38c1,363$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.4116940.2%68 W · 101 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes57c1,350$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.5519250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No37c1,218$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.871,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No26c1,043$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2329337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes72c1,013$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.552161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes64c907.32$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.826100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.67650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No29c700.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3831430.3%95 W · 219 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No33c674.99$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7555545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No39c636$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.0421840.4%88 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Yes80c610$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.538165.4%53 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed No56c560$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.997855.1%43 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes58c524.5$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.7817446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes68c512.43$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.431752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes70c507.35$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.682755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No35c501.02$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3217443.1%75 W · 99 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No8c500$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414427.3%12 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes78c494.73$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.792454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91c7…808fbacked Yes79c480.86$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.125100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes62c402.39$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9111650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12020740.1%83 W · 124 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes54c370$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.278344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes78c338.88$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5579532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.876251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b92…4f18backed Yes59c326.11$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes74c323.79$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3135944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No39c318$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.029340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No39c318$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0211141.4%46 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12611235.7%40 W · 72 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No7c294.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.743030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f5f…fe38backed Yes59c269.79$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yes60c251.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.411827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf484…e79cbacked Yes59c240.04$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.512951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No41c237.24$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2129959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes77c223$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2937446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes59c216.95$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.952352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes59c216.27$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.673857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8564…93ffbacked Yes59c211.86$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No39c201$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.393240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No22c200.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8574155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809431.9%30 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed No42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8412941.9%54 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes65c185.13$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6516443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No28c178.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8885260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.933470.6%24 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes57c123.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.583348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No22c113.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0420244.6%90 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes58c112.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2518449.5%91 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes57c107.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.382835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes43c104$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.285538.2%21 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+108.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed No39c104$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.85371.7%38 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Yes59c88.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.481855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79f5…79c7backed Yes62c86.66$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.931844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Yes59c83.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.052272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes79c80.09$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1437750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2927554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No41c68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.881,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed No36c66.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8831842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No41c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7544156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes65c64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2645348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes59c63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9115562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243565.7%23 W · 12 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed No18c58.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44025%10 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No39c57.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.89753.6%52 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes58c57.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.137046.5%172 W · 198 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes60c56.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.676142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed No25c55.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.593951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No37c54.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9914443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No37c54.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9914744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes60c53.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.423164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+61.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.59446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No38c48.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1797346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3710948.6%53 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64479.5%35 W · 9 L+8.0wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes80c36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No35c35.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.391,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0690…8821backed Yes59c35.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.435100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No42c34.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6723951.5%123 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.