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Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$349,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$428,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4408…1b6abacked No33c26,924$8,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,884.852433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No32c26,828$8,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,638.273129%9 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No31c26,065$8,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,080.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes67c23,069$15,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,612.842548%12 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes68c22,222$15,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,111.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No26c18,670$4,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,872.9411451.8%59 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No32c12,995$4,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,158.327040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes68c12,456$8,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,985.924447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No15c9,415$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.7255038.9%214 W · 336 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed No4c8,680$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.1616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-76.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No11c7,737$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.962,02339.4%798 W · 1,225 L-10.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No12c5,750$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6901650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No33c5,092$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.0644654.7%244 W · 202 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No1c4,444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No32c4,069$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.681540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No32c4,046$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.457856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes68c3,837$2,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.848644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes67c3,493$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.54875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed No3c3,344$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No33c2,826$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.567028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No18c2,122$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.4751349.3%253 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked No1c2,057$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.57837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-41.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked No2c2,040$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403966.7%26 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Yes67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6603100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No4c1,932$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.761643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick64cpaid+42.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5413753.3%73 W · 64 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No12c1,318$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1840%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f5…ab8cbacked Yes67c1,280$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No33c1,112$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.9134852.9%184 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No33c1,064$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4741253.2%219 W · 193 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No2c1,062$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No34c1,050$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-80.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No27c1,019$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4614846.6%69 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3208624.4%21 W · 65 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes76c998.41$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.644841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x805f…54a4backed Yes66c972.12$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No21c910.78$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.515717.5%10 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick17cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes75c900.79$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.387356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed No32c887.95$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes68c834.85$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.3423839.1%93 W · 145 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked No20c781.43$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.652867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes68c751.1$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No32c740.37$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.923517.1%6 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes65c737.06$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca64…4f43backed Yes68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Yes68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.29366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.291353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked No25c699.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes67c697$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.018864.8%57 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No32c621.87$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d5…5678backed Yes67c547.48$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.67887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+70.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Yes66c524$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.16785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16025339.5%100 W · 153 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No7c499.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514418.8%27 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a39…9315backed Yes68c473.53$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Yes65c461.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.54683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+60.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No12c416.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9841841.1%172 W · 246 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes68c399.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1282962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes67c387.43$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.855543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed No8c381.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.381323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6039…9496backed Yes66c370$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1241866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes68c347$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8511636.2%42 W · 74 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0052…30bcbacked Yes67c331.88$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes68c326.47$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.474060%24 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes68c323.53$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.531560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes66c299.38$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.981566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5110767.3%72 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No32c275.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.686523.1%15 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes68c264$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.826867.6%46 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes68c261.76$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.763100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes74c255$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.45176.5%39 W · 12 L+7.5wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6532939.5%130 W · 199 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac36…b1e1backed No33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No8c244.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.126136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9503…1fd2backed No10c238.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes67c228.37$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.558248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.595250%26 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db0…a3b6backed Yes68c217.37$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12e7…39a0backed No33c201.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa108…573ebacked Yes67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes65c199.98$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.991060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe048…02edbacked Yes68c190.49$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0166…02b7backed Yes67c189$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No10c186.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.853135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No33c164$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6167553.8%363 W · 312 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No32c161$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.522343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.255349.1%26 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b8…3c05backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a6…e544backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc415…afc8backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes68c143.32$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Yes66c142.42$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.