Serie A · resolved market
Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f9f09a458030f85f8359ba6a18a5b419516324824f5e9fb02c3afb081840bea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 20c | 22,775$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed No | 80c | 15,600$12,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 14,856$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.68 | 2,023 | 39.4%798 W · 1,225 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 7,965$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.92 | 720 | 50.1%361 W · 359 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 79c | 6,738$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.89 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 80c | 4,170$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 4,153$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.12 | 2,579 | 45.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 11c | 3,333$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 2,433$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.61 | 446 | 54.7%244 W · 202 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,305$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.95 | 999 | 44.7%447 W · 552 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 10c | 1,040$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…a061backed No | 80c | 965$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 876.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 513 | 49.3%253 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 80c | 780$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 80c | 694.37$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 11c | 538.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 16c | 467.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 21c | 393.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 79c | 392.41$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 80c | 356.7$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 21c | 280.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 13c | 266.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 195.91$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 439 | 55.4%243 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 8c | 182.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 80c | 181.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 20c | 166.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 348 | 52.9%184 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 269 | 44.6%120 W · 149 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 13c | 149.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 9c | 127.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 80c | 113.51$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 13c | 110.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 17c | 93.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed No | 79c | 93.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 21c | 90.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 13c | 86.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 13c | 82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 75.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 550 | 38.9%214 W · 336 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 78c | 64.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 21c | 60.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…3783backed Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-23?No won
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.