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Champions League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes59c14,795$8,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,064.5735832.7%117 W · 241 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f6…ff1bbacked Yes58c11,852$6,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,977.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c11,621$4,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,976.262,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No43c9,602$4,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,157.341,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes58c7,457$4,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.2218141.4%75 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes49c5,488$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,792.722941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No41c4,271$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.9349751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No41c4,201$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.4439043.6%170 W · 220 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No41c4,192$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.2319447.9%93 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No42c3,879$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.151464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes59c3,834$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.091060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c3,823$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.851,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes59c3,080$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.848357.8%48 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No41c2,904$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.9651746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No45c2,710$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.871,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No41c2,446$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.3613039.2%51 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes52c1,911$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes60c1,768$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.2697332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No41c1,753$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.2535746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No1c1,530$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.32937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6304050%20 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ebb…9305backed Yes71c1,049$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Yes58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.481844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+102.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No41c1,006$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.2439042.3%165 W · 225 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes58c1,001$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.394261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ddd…3254backed No40c869.6$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.84922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes59c852.71$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+36%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No41c656.62$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7336744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No41c609$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6918434.8%64 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25219549.7%97 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…4a51backed Yes51c532.38$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes52c433.66$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.917140.4%69 W · 102 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No41c392.19$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4872548.6%352 W · 373 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes56c355.17$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8717144.4%76 W · 95 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes58c345$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No33c342.32$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.18318.1%15 W · 68 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a8c…329fbacked Yes58c335.83$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12041551.1%212 W · 203 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes44c300$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1676933.3%23 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No42c267.72$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.317556.6%99 W · 76 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes58c252.64$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.113455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes52c249.69$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3512846.9%60 W · 68 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes58c224.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1413156.5%74 W · 57 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes45c222.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.441060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No46c219.86$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.545145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No40c216.3$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0953546.7%250 W · 285 L+2.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No48c212.49$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed No48c209.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No41c190.15$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9732150.5%162 W · 159 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes58c187.57$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.573354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No43c181.05$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.918470.2%59 W · 25 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd5ad…7c42backed Yes71c178.7$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes52c175.25$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3710945%49 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x812e…8189backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x284b…8b4cbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdff8…3b41backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes59c160.2$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.688927%24 W · 65 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes58c138$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No43c127.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12c8…20d5backed Yes59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.64560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes59c115.79$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.486547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No41c115.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.144837.7%169 W · 279 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No45c105.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1116167.1%108 W · 53 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes58c102.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.967345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110160.4%61 W · 40 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4063748.4%308 W · 329 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked No42c98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.161127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Yes58c95.72$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed No42c95.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No39c92.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.231625%4 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No42c92.53$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.716157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No40c84.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.332931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.756553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b3…e59ebacked Yes75c78.52$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No41c72.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.883151.6%16 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+89.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes66c68.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6914843.9%65 W · 83 L-12.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No42c62.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3210953.2%58 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No42c62.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.258953.9%48 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ac…4025backed No30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No42c59.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.895642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa187…aa65backed No43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed No42c52.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2efa…3296backed Yes59c51.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…b5eebacked Yes58c50.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.161070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes59c42.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4628450%142 W · 142 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.372441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Yes48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed No41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb31…792dbacked Yes39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7655…f0b2backed Yes58c36.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed No43c35.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x66db…370fbacked No42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b8…4a59backed Yes59c35.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.