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Champions League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,718
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,718 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b56…715ebacked Over29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.971070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c9,459$6,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,532.592,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under72c4,257$3,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.881,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over2c3,991$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Over32c3,451$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.968927%24 W · 65 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over30c3,338$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.6730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.086637.9%25 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over23c2,969$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.454239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under73c2,878$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.6979935.3%282 W · 517 L-36.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under69c2,812$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.5636744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over26c2,026$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.0117140.4%69 W · 102 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Over31c1,935$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under71c1,579$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over8c1,562$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.688318.1%15 W · 68 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4653912.8%5 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-51.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…0c04backed Over27c1,192$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.23911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-86.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Over33c1,012$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3341346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over34c999.94$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9814020.7%29 W · 111 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over30c851.79$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.6349751.9%258 W · 239 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under67c735.18$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1339043.6%170 W · 220 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c634.32$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.871,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under70c626.76$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5335746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021860.6%132 W · 86 L+21.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c468.78$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5297332.2%313 W · 660 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over33c451.52$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700c…5375backed Under70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-76.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.543177.4%24 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under68c406$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.929945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over21c396.97$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3626145.6%119 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3062…4bc7backed Over31c356.94$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.651250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over30c355.14$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.657856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under68c294.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.117826.9%21 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under72c277.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2919259.9%115 W · 77 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under72c269.48$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8926653.8%143 W · 123 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under72c268.62$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0333057.6%190 W · 140 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under70c217$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.118141.4%75 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over7c202.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7244837.7%169 W · 279 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186933.3%23 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1057…1636backed Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Over34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6850%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under79c186.05$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.07887.5%7 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick77cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Over29c182$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.781637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under75c149.34$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.816167.1%108 W · 53 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under73c148.07$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.48470.2%59 W · 25 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under68c141.09$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.092070%14 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under73c138.14$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.436157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over25c137.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2732931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under80c114$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.851746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under67c111.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.943452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a08…882dbacked Under66c110$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4862…7762backed Over18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378850%44 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Under68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over38c87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7414843.9%65 W · 83 L-12.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd220…e303backed Over19c86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under68c80.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.916852.4%88 W · 80 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under72c77.75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.832166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over20c71.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.286530.8%20 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over30c66.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under67c65.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.753546.7%250 W · 285 L+2.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under75c64.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.963571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over39c64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6528450%142 W · 142 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over19c62.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.785145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.341963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under70c53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.076847.1%32 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0610945%49 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcda9…91f6backed Over22c49.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.77520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over31c49.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3170446.3%326 W · 378 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521942.9%94 W · 125 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over35c48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8617144.4%76 W · 95 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under78c45.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.217566.7%50 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…81b5backed Under69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…f3a4backed Under69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.482055%11 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+90.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.28542.4%36 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under66c39.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.152441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under71c38.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.435072%36 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Over30c36.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.943151.6%16 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+89.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a89…24b1backed Under69c34.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over33c33.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.016634.8%23 W · 43 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.77749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Over40c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a40…007abacked Under76c25.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under72c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.727557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Under69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.74757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under69c21.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.631478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under72c21.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0410546.7%49 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Under68c21.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.753585.7%30 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.46056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under69c16.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56758.2%39 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under74c14.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.66457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.