Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01901ed2c813f364bb4e432d0cd7f1a4ddca202dcaedb1666550c3e7c8dab08f

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $106,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $104,521

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,392 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under	23c	26,489$6,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,137.14	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	+8.6wins	+0.13per pick	36cpaid	+16%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under	2c	18,725$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.03	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under	4c	8,252$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.36	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	78c	5,668$4,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,230.24	2,101	43.6%917 W · 1,184 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under	1c	4,479$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.79	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	74c	4,468$3,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,180.18	1,596	39.8%636 W · 960 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	79c	3,033$2,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.89	1,141	35.4%404 W · 737 L	-15.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	29c	2,847$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.21	1,062	36.3%386 W · 676 L	+24.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	78c	2,434$1,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.94	799	35.3%282 W · 517 L	-36.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	75c	1,753$1,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.53	542	39.5%214 W · 328 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under	4c	1,625$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under	3c	1,318$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.41	67	20.9%14 W · 53 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under	4c	1,250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under	43c	1,171$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+36%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over	80c	1,063$849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.9	83	57.8%48 W · 35 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over	80c	875$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under	21c	826.46$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.82	171	40.4%69 W · 102 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	23c	818.55$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.27	367	44.4%163 W · 204 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	73c	753.93$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.56	517	46.2%239 W · 278 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under	46c	656.32$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under	23c	565.87$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.15	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11bb…24e5backed Under	17c	420$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over	78c	384.62$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.62	55	65.5%36 W · 19 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e54…0466backed Over	79c	379.75$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.75	10	70%7 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	76cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under	4c	375$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	23cpaid	-27%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	44c	362.11$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.33	96	43.8%42 W · 54 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	76c	317.71$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.04	448	37.7%169 W · 279 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd8…e787backed Under	24c	314$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Under	23c	313.95$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.21	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-22%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over	67c	300.95$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.21	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	22c	294.93$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.87	390	43.6%170 W · 220 L	-11.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	79c	264$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.44	209	36.8%77 W · 132 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Over	77c	256.52$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.86	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Over	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd47e…4e60backed Over	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7356…04cfbacked Over	62c	246.44$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under	20c	240$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	11c	201.75$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.29	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	84	57.1%48 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	80c	197.5$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	101	62.4%63 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	16c	155.66$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.66	83	18.1%15 W · 68 L	-7.1wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	23c	138.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.74	357	46.8%167 W · 190 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over	77c	132.71$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.52	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over	77c	130$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.9	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.18per pick	70cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb4d…346dbacked Over	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	75cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Under	23c	84.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	34cpaid	+101.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	77c	84.78$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	101	60.4%61 W · 40 L	+9.0wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over	73c	84.77$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.54	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	17c	73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.26	194	42.8%83 W · 111 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	55c	70$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	206	56.8%117 W · 89 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	78c	60.01$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	424	44.1%187 W · 237 L	-22.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bda…d4a0backed Over	76c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over	77c	59$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.57	266	53.8%143 W · 123 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under	41c	55.13$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over	77c	51.95$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.95	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	72cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over	78c	51.28$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	137	67.2%92 W · 45 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	21c	51$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.71	725	48.6%352 W · 373 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4862…7762backed Over	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd220…e303backed Over	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Under	23c	45.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	35c	41.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	330	57.6%190 W · 140 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	40c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	85	42.4%36 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked Over	77c	38.96$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.96	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	78cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbf20…8ae0backed Over	79c	37.97$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.97	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+29%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over	76c	36.83$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.76	75	66.7%50 W · 25 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	37c	36.3$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.31	192	59.9%115 W · 77 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Over	77c	34.68$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.82	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+4.5wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over	77c	31.62$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.27	175	56.6%99 W · 76 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b7…665abacked Over	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed Over	77c	28.57$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.57	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	78cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Over	77c	28.47$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.55	35	85.7%30 W · 5 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	74cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d39…ba51backed Over	80c	26.25$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.25	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	65cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	68cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f65…ec56backed Over	78c	25.1$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.52	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	72cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8227…f436backed Over	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under	42c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over	77c	24.91$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.73	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over	77c	23.77$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.47	50	72%36 W · 14 L	+6.0wins	+0.12per pick	60cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbec6…9054backed Over	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace3…f9b0backed Over	78c	19.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	79cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	74c	19.07$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.96	161	67.1%108 W · 53 L	+12.5wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over	78c	16.03$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.53	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec2…92e3backed Over	78c	15.06$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.31	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa902…6b82backed Over	77c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.45	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5this page
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Fenerbahçe SK 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.5Over won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5Under won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 2.5Under won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 0.5Over won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Under won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 5.5Under won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 0.5Over won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5Under won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 2.5Under won
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Team to AdvanceFenerbahçe SK won
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event