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Champions League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$397,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$413,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under48c44,990$21,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,172.794429.5%13 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c41,404$24,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,912.872,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under47c23,009$10,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,083.322450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over51c16,784$8,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,627.4979935.3%282 W · 517 L-36.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under27c13,647$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,945.186848.5%33 W · 35 L+8.6wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under44c12,134$5,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,773.474351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over51c10,937$5,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,555.921,06236.3%386 W · 676 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c10,882$4,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,593.571,59639.8%636 W · 960 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Over50c10,102$5,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,050.951070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over55c7,341$4,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,012.251746.2%239 W · 278 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over3c6,782$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8246533.8%157 W · 308 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over53c6,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15011346%52 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Over54c5,671$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,062.514261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0477…80f2backed Over55c5,353$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8007250%36 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under59c4,741$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.4154239.5%214 W · 328 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over53c4,654$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.4518141.4%75 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c4,476$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.4461741.5%256 W · 361 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under59c3,469$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.561369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over33c3,372$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.3141743.4%181 W · 236 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed Over52c3,146$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.861957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over42c3,065$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.6817140.4%69 W · 102 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c2,739$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.958318.1%15 W · 68 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over53c2,545$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.0335832.7%117 W · 241 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over52c2,447$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.155259.6%31 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under47c2,359$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.11442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over2c2,333$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.861414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-80.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under63c1,905$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.766060%36 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over1c1,881$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.812420.8%5 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over37c1,840$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.2632931.9%105 W · 224 L-26.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under45c1,731$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.841369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over51c1,568$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.685242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bcb…6373backed Over65c1,525$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over53c1,415$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9528747.4%136 W · 151 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over50c1,406$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005056%28 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over53c1,404$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.892626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over52c1,400$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.0639043.6%170 W · 220 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under51c1,296$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.071850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under58c1,251$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.554454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under61c1,191$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.1733057.6%190 W · 140 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under61c1,184$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.1419259.9%115 W · 77 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5303231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53039042.3%165 W · 225 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5308357.8%48 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over56c999.98$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9914020.7%29 W · 111 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over52c960$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.218434.8%64 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under61c954.93$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.968470.2%59 W · 25 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under47c921.19$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.237945.6%36 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Over38c919.17$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.091643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under65c892.46$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.464242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under50c805.18$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.182751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Under52c800$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.43354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over45c799.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Under59c794.85$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over13c727.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.245549.1%27 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c631.27$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.5342850.2%215 W · 213 L+25.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea81…0c04backed Over53c607.15$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.45911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-86.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3063863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over34c599.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044712.8%6 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-42.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over2c558.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.176720.9%14 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under47c552.24$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.123357.6%19 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+56.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Over53c547.14$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+79.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over53c541.93$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.641752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.71633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…1444backed Under47c520.85$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.051233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under44c515.22$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.528927%24 W · 65 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over55c512$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.632150.5%162 W · 159 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under46c510$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.47656.6%43 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d1…c0f2backed Under54c503.43$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+192.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551625%4 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3807656.6%43 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.996934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under58c484$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4626653.8%143 W · 123 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under49c450$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2292454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Over55c438.46$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.553464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over54c433.29$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2535746.8%167 W · 190 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over34c426.78$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0814843.9%65 W · 83 L-12.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dbd…2703backed Under47c425.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over47c423$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8126145.6%119 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under63c381.88$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3616167.1%108 W · 53 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over53c381.36$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4716852.4%88 W · 80 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e8…8ef4backed Over52c377.35$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+102.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Over53c370.37$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under60c368.39$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.476157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over39c356$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.721926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over30c345.61$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4117144.4%76 W · 95 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Under46c340.94$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.11540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55f8…eceebacked Over69c323.88$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c317.98$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.651,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c09…f399backed Over49c297.87$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013156.5%74 W · 57 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over53c287.09$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5536744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over68c283.03$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4620936.8%77 W · 132 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf698…a7e7backed Over55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.