Champions League · resolved market
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6669ed351e0ad86cccb4c90abb1f0b477448dad93f1ae18c04182e54ce45a02a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 68c | 4,649$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.58 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 71c | 2,567$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 2,335$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.19 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under | 46c | 1,709$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 1,061$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.97 | 1,596 | 39.8%636 W · 960 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 29c | 995$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.55 | 497 | 51.9%258 W · 239 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 29c | 989.2$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.87 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 797$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.91 | 1,062 | 36.3%386 W · 676 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 72c | 688.6$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.36 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 58c | 659.67$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.1 | 329 | 31.9%105 W · 224 L | -26.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 525.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 1,141 | 35.4%404 W · 737 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 72c | 472.22$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 29c | 438.4$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 390 | 42.3%165 W · 225 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 28c | 205.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 131 | 56.5%74 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Under | 29c | 166.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 53c | 129.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 33c | 107.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Over | 36c | 69.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…e15abacked Over | 58c | 65.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 79c | 62.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +10.0wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 66c | 60.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 137 | 67.2%92 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Over | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Under | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…0f85backed Over | 62c | 35.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 30c | 33.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 71c | 25.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 725 | 48.6%352 W · 373 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 48c | 24.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -15.6wins | -0.38per pick | 40cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 24-0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…eb01backed Over | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 535 | 46.7%250 W · 285 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 75c | 16.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 69c | 15.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Fenerbahçe SK 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 1.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 5.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 0.5Over won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 1.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 2.5Under won
- Fenerbahçe SK vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Team to AdvanceFenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.